Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c717d291c95bc8d015d7e32d0e84f67ac09e9928bb0ad886e8833869b5700a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Switzerland, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Switzerland | 5c | 31,558$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.55 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Switzerland | 6c | 14,583$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.95 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Switzerland | 5c | 9,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Switzerland | 7c | 5,075$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Switzerland | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Switzerland | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Switzerland | 4c | 3,988$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Switzerland | 27c | 2,195$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.16 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canada | 74c | 2,113$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Switzerland | 12c | 1,597$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Switzerland | 6c | 1,354$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Switzerland | 6c | 1,261$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Switzerland | 6c | 1,205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Switzerland | 6c | 1,020$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Switzerland | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…ae4abacked Switzerland | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Switzerland | 4c | 933.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Switzerland | 7c | 902.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Canada | 78c | 793.53$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Switzerland | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Switzerland | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed Switzerland | 7c | 586$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Switzerland | 24c | 545$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Switzerland | 5c | 541$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Switzerland | 6c | 534$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Switzerland | 29c | 501.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Switzerland | 26c | 461.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Canada | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Switzerland | 24c | 417.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Switzerland | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Switzerland | 6c | 277.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Switzerland | 6c | 265.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Switzerland | 6c | 265.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…4ab2backed Switzerland | 6c | 260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Switzerland | 11c | 246.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…49f1backed Switzerland | 21c | 220.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Canada | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9175backed Switzerland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…9b84backed Switzerland | 7c | 172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 152 | 35.5%54 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Switzerland | 13c | 161.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…a9fabacked Switzerland | 21c | 93.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Switzerland | 16c | 81.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…f431backed Switzerland | 27c | 73.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Switzerland | 26c | 68.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Canada | 74c | 63.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Switzerland | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…ddb5backed Canada | 80c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Canada | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…0ea7backed Canada | 74c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Canada won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.