TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc386…386fbacked Over4c2,992$129 inLost-$128.585127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under62c1,620$1,004 inWon+$615.4661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over38c1,546$588 inLost-$587.516533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under70c1,287$901 inWon+$386.116165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost-$38011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over39c897$350 inLost-$349.8359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over39c500$195 inLost-$19554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over28c492.46$138 inLost-$138.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c297.74$115 inLost-$114.633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over38c250$95 inLost-$9514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde3…0d07backed Under63c238.1$150 inWon+$88.11478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over38c200$76 inLost-$768948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over20c136.55$27 inLost-$27.1348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c126.71$48 inLost-$48.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under61c104.84$64 inWon+$40.8948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Over37c100$37 inLost-$376235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under63c100$63 inWon+$3733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under61c76.13$46 inWon+$29.6492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over38c50$19 inLost-$18.751,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c45.79$18 inLost-$18.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c35$14 inLost-$141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Over40c25.58$10 inLost-$10.2311331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under61c16.59$10 inWon+$6.471,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.