Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1132016725561f02bb45ed701dd2f555b53e450a30d58023528d1742e51eaa

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $297,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $295,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	9c	60,277$5,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,512.34	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	9c	15,887$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.83	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	7c	11,344$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.23	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	10c	10,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.06	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	6c	10,089$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.25	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	11c	9,999$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.89	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	11c	7,667$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.85	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	9c	5,786$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.81	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	6c	4,559$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.55	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over	1c	4,304$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.47	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	3c	4,189$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over	12c	4,167$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.81	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	8c	3,278$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.52	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Over	3c	2,222$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over	10c	2,100$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	18c	2,094$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.61	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	3c	1,894$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.93	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over	12c	1,679$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.42	137	27%37 W · 100 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a6…6520backed Over	12c	1,670$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.4	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over	10c	1,489$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.85	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	6c	1,193$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	11c	988.42$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.85	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	11c	871.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	12c	834.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	9c	814.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	12c	750$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	10c	739.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.87	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b81…01ecbacked Under	70c	600$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	10c	520.9$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.09	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Over	11c	459.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c9…4179backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over	11c	440.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	10c	430$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	12c	375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over	9c	338.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	262	43.1%113 W · 149 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…f863backed Over	9c	326.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	24cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	8c	282.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Over	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	154	32.5%50 W · 104 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	7c	242.08$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	11c	229$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over	8c	220.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	257	41.6%107 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	10c	214$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1f…6206backed Over	14c	210$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	13c	206.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	9c	201.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecd…44e8backed Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over	12c	158.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	10c	150.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Over	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	120	30.8%37 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over	12c	113.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe71c…4987backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd831…6fccbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5this page
Spread: Canada (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Canada (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Canada (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Canada won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Canada won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Canada won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Canada won
Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Canada won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event