TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dublin: Yi Zhou vs Nicolas Mejia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yi Zhouof Yi Zhou, Nicolas Mejia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Mejia49c8,439$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.488,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Yi Zhou59c5,045$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.9953655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Yi Zhou59c5,000$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.9125453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Nicolas Mejia41c2,073$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yi Zhou50c1,974$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Nicolas Mejia41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33fd…a585backed Yi Zhou49c1,002$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Nicolas Mejia42c949.99$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Nicolas Mejia17c799.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13635938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yi Zhou59c775.13$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.154,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Mejia42c768.57$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.232,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yi Zhou77c738.48$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.165,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Yi Zhou58c680.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.151,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Yi Zhou62c646.19$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.163,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Mejia18c640.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.273,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Yi Zhou34c626.71$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.711,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Mejia41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.057,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Nicolas Mejia36c560.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yi Zhou78c552.46$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.814,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Yi Zhou60c501.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7833540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nicolas Mejia45c413.5$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.291,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Nicolas Mejia3c409.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9610%0 W · 61 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Yi Zhou67c370.16$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.961,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Nicolas Mejia40c349.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.592,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Nicolas Mejia46c347.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Yi Zhou58c344.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.829743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Mejia41c341.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yi Zhou50c330.45$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.832,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yi Zhou59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12389850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Nicolas Mejia16c285.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yi Zhou56c280.82$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…1d45backed Nicolas Mejia42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nicolas Mejia42c237.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.552,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Nicolas Mejia48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1138952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Nicolas Mejia51c202$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.022,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yi Zhou57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8627940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nicolas Mejia41c193.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.421,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Nicolas Mejia48c184.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yi Zhou33c181$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2752152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Nicolas Mejia57c173.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Nicolas Mejia42c146.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5864537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…ba31backed Nicolas Mejia27c146.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Mejia34c120.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.858,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yi Zhou76c115.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.036,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Yi Zhou39c111.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1385348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac8f…feddbacked Yi Zhou60c107.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Yi Zhou58c107.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7910859.3%64 W · 44 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Nicolas Mejia40c101.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yi Zhou58c100.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yi Zhou58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4294447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Yi Zhou60c99.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.741,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Nicolas Mejia68c89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Nicolas Mejia58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Nicolas Mejia54c85.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Nicolas Mejia41c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4455032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Nicolas Mejia52c81.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.091,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yi Zhou54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yi Zhou58c66.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0969253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Nicolas Mejia41c61.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Nicolas Mejia43c59.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6213040%52 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Nicolas Mejia34c52.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8120552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yi Zhou56c51.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yi Zhou52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yi Zhou53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Mejia41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Mejia42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Nicolas Mejia41c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yi Zhou46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yi Zhou52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6855748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicolas Mejia25c40.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.166,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Nicolas Mejia50c36.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9362727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yi Zhou58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd2…b1e4backed Nicolas Mejia58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…113abacked Yi Zhou58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6a…8bf2backed Nicolas Mejia60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Nicolas Mejia48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8458453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Mejia50c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.362,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Nicolas Mejia52c30.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Nicolas Mejia51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.338860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Nicolas Mejia45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4723427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yi Zhou58c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nicolas Mejia44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.883,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bce…c696backed Nicolas Mejia62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.318072.8%131 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Nicolas Mejia61c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.437156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.