Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Daniel Milavsky vs Yi Zhou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f7dfbc7de6703356ab95c542429629fecfa9fb2a70bd3943f8b81630fa3bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Milavskyof Daniel Milavsky, Yi Zhou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yi Zhou | 29c | 7,293$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 79c | 6,443$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.44 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Daniel Milavsky | 55c | 5,867$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.49 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Daniel Milavsky | 57c | 2,373$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.75 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Daniel Milavsky | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yi Zhou | 25c | 701.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yi Zhou | 65c | 595.48$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.06 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Yi Zhou | 9c | 559.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Daniel Milavsky | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniel Milavsky | 22c | 467.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yi Zhou | 22c | 378.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yi Zhou | 44c | 374.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Daniel Milavsky | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Daniel Milavsky | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Milavsky | 42c | 311.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Yi Zhou | 76c | 298.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Yi Zhou | 66c | 227.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yi Zhou | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yi Zhou | 47c | 174.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Yi Zhou | 64c | 170.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Daniel Milavsky | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yi Zhou | 46c | 149.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yi Zhou | 56c | 148.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Yi Zhou | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 35c | 123.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Yi Zhou | 79c | 113.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yi Zhou | 67c | 110$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 27c | 109$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yi Zhou | 48c | 101.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Daniel Milavsky | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yi Zhou | 25c | 90.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Daniel Milavsky | 25c | 85.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yi Zhou | 29c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Yi Zhou | 78c | 76.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Yi Zhou | 29c | 76.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yi Zhou | 49c | 63.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 20c | 60.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yi Zhou | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Daniel Milavsky | 41c | 51.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Daniel Milavsky | 70c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Daniel Milavsky | 36c | 48.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Daniel Milavsky | 41c | 43.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yi Zhou | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Yi Zhou | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yi Zhou | 45c | 37.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yi Zhou | 64c | 36.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Daniel Milavsky | 36c | 34.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yi Zhou | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yi Zhou | 46c | 33.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Daniel Milavsky | 38c | 32.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yi Zhou | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Milavsky | 68c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Yi Zhou | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Daniel Milavsky | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Daniel Milavsky | 69c | 21.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Daniel Milavsky | 62c | 20.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Daniel Milavsky | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Yi Zhou | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…093bbacked Yi Zhou | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Daniel Milavsky | 71c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Daniel Milavsky | 73c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Daniel Milavsky | 71c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.