TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Sinja Kraus

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinja Krausof Julia Grabher, Sinja Kraus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae5c…5df7backed Julia Grabher48c10,103$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sinja Kraus73c9,575$6,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.7711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Sinja Kraus68c9,255$6,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.7434655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Julia Grabher29c8,869$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Julia Grabher49c7,957$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.784,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Julia Grabher15c3,636$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2720860.6%126 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julia Grabher40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sinja Kraus73c1,241$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.463,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Julia Grabher38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.021,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Julia Grabher37c1,080$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5633438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Julia Grabher33c700$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Julia Grabher18c628.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.221,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Sinja Kraus53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23531237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Julia Grabher16c469.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.862,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Julia Grabher49c464.63$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.474,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Julia Grabher47c427.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Julia Grabher45c402.08$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.941,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Julia Grabher36c344.62$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.069051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Julia Grabher14c319$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.531,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Julia Grabher15c297.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.679913.1%13 W · 86 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Julia Grabher36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Sinja Kraus62c272.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.533,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Julia Grabher37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus63c238.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.344,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Julia Grabher43c230.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Julia Grabher49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.864065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcafb…a4e4backed Julia Grabher10c216.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.741747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Julia Grabher21c177.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.876,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d09…7fd6backed Julia Grabher14c174.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6410627.4%29 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Julia Grabher22c173.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.841,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus63c167.72$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.063,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Julia Grabher38c159.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3335932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Sinja Kraus63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7374961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Sinja Kraus63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Sinja Kraus63c158$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Julia Grabher13c152.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Sinja Kraus63c152.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4955941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Julia Grabher14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Julia Grabher38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Julia Grabher38c127.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5913850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Sinja Kraus63c127.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Julia Grabher37c125.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7790152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Julia Grabher36c125.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.387,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Julia Grabher47c120.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8645850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked Sinja Kraus63c120.38$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.544949%24 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Julia Grabher21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Julia Grabher48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sinja Kraus61c118.27$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.961,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Julia Grabher45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Julia Grabher43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Julia Grabher45c113.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Julia Grabher38c105.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2835747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Sinja Kraus50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5030246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f64…2aacbacked Julia Grabher10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107452.7%39 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Julia Grabher45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Julia Grabher12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.593945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sinja Kraus62c99.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Julia Grabher48c99.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.612,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Sinja Kraus65c96.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9282560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Julia Grabher45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x003b…1ebebacked Sinja Kraus64c95.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Julia Grabher43c87.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5621554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Julia Grabher44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sinja Kraus63c70.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Julia Grabher43c69.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.727748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Sinja Kraus71c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Julia Grabher16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Julia Grabher37c54.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Sinja Kraus68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Julia Grabher36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Julia Grabher37c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Julia Grabher42c41.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…73bbbacked Sinja Kraus63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Sinja Kraus53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7421661.1%132 W · 84 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Sinja Kraus71c35.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4425259.9%151 W · 101 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Sinja Kraus63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7581256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Julia Grabher37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.183447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Sinja Kraus62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.413559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Julia Grabher37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Sinja Kraus71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Sinja Kraus60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9533062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Sinja Kraus72c24.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.822,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69c…7f9bbacked Sinja Kraus63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8117168.4%117 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Sinja Kraus64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Julia Grabher50c23.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5945564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Julia Grabher50c20.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinja Kraus52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a4a…eba9backed Sinja Kraus63c17.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e5…2300backed Sinja Kraus70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55589.1%49 W · 6 L+9.3wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ead…f0fbbacked Sinja Kraus71c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.174548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e33…e44ebacked Sinja Kraus71c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.173647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.