Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ff7afe8d59e0e7d41d739f4a07c52cd58691c150c97e86b1c8d1d374a18d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 40c | 822.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 72c | 686.31$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.18 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…38dabacked Yes | 79c | 598.22$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 485.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 465.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 449.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 440.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.19 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 437.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 48c | 435.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 318.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 30c | 308.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 292.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 281.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed Yes | 74c | 278.82$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…9321backed Yes | 77c | 273.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…1870backed No | 48c | 262.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 61c | 239.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 42c | 203.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 60c | 202.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 27c | 200.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 30c | 191.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 169.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 44c | 153.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 68c | 144.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 134.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 62c | 115.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 39c | 112.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…caadbacked No | 74c | 109.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…ace3backed No | 10c | 103.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 58c | 102.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 50c | 102.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…143fbacked No | 16c | 102.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 288 | 29.5%85 W · 203 L | +32.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…0b6dbacked Yes | 32c | 101.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 34c | 77.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 75.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 74.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…d7c6backed Yes | 59c | 72.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…af80backed Yes | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…e48cbacked No | 42c | 71.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 99 | 21.2%21 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 64c | 70.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 24c | 68.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…7c98backed No | 57c | 66.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 74c | 64.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…cc0cbacked Yes | 69c | 59.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 44c | 56.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 47c | 54.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…a75ebacked Yes | 25c | 53.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 19c | 52.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…e169backed No | 68c | 50.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…a8d7backed Yes | 72c | 50.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…ef98backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…c040backed Yes | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 50c | 46.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 64c | 46.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 45.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 41.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 58c | 39.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Yes | 72c | 35.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…891dbacked No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…e8e6backed No | 66c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 56c | 28.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 46c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 38c | 27.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked No | 75c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…7d68backed Yes | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…5c82backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 56c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 48c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 50c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 80c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 70c | 17.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…8e18backed No | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.