Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Zachary Svajda vs Hubert Hurkacz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4681b4b23ba2dfb51998b5fadb3732ab482841b899a88a72943f1071574c2aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hubert Hurkaczof Zachary Svajda, Hubert Hurkacz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7402…8020backed Zachary Svajda | 15c | 8,975$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.81 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zachary Svajda | 13c | 7,628$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…8b8abacked Zachary Svajda | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zachary Svajda | 10c | 5,425$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Zachary Svajda | 9c | 3,790$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Zachary Svajda | 8c | 3,468$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zachary Svajda | 19c | 3,405$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Zachary Svajda | 5c | 2,129$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…3196backed Zachary Svajda | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Zachary Svajda | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…a4eebacked Zachary Svajda | 18c | 1,419$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zachary Svajda | 8c | 1,415$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Zachary Svajda | 14c | 1,400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Zachary Svajda | 6c | 1,358$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Zachary Svajda | 10c | 1,342$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Zachary Svajda | 11c | 1,331$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Zachary Svajda | 12c | 1,294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zachary Svajda | 12c | 1,048$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Zachary Svajda | 16c | 762.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Zachary Svajda | 13c | 672.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Zachary Svajda | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Zachary Svajda | 15c | 473.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zachary Svajda | 21c | 429.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Zachary Svajda | 19c | 424.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Zachary Svajda | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Zachary Svajda | 10c | 370.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Zachary Svajda | 6c | 341.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 320.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Zachary Svajda | 16c | 315.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Zachary Svajda | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Zachary Svajda | 17c | 275$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Zachary Svajda | 10c | 272.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Zachary Svajda | 11c | 244.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Zachary Svajda | 8c | 220.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Zachary Svajda | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Zachary Svajda | 15c | 159.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Zachary Svajda | 16c | 158.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Zachary Svajda | 15c | 133.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Zachary Svajda | 17c | 118.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Zachary Svajda | 17c | 118.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Zachary Svajda | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Zachary Svajda | 17c | 116.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Zachary Svajda | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Zachary Svajda | 15c | 75.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zachary Svajda | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Zachary Svajda | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Hubert Hurkacz | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Zachary Svajda | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Hubert Hurkacz | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.