Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c7e0cd160f8ef45b4766140d3db4e4eae324cb75cfadc2f34235120a5170da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maks Kasnikowskiof Philip Henning, Maks Kasnikowski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Philip Henning | 41c | 12,298$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 6,692$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.82 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maks Kasnikowski | 64c | 4,787$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 2,000$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.31 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Philip Henning | 16c | 1,282$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philip Henning | 17c | 1,277$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 892.47$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 652.89$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Philip Henning | 43c | 652.32$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Philip Henning | 32c | 559.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 511$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Philip Henning | 17c | 478.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 418$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Philip Henning | 44c | 341.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 319.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 75c | 299.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Philip Henning | 41c | 293.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 270$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Philip Henning | 41c | 254.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 232.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philip Henning | 39c | 161.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 160.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Philip Henning | 42c | 151.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Philip Henning | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 114.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 107.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 105.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Philip Henning | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Philip Henning | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Philip Henning | 40c | 96.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Philip Henning | 43c | 88.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Maks Kasnikowski | 57c | 77.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Philip Henning | 41c | 75.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Philip Henning | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Philip Henning | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 62.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Philip Henning | 41c | 57.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Philip Henning | 44c | 57.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Philip Henning | 44c | 56.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Philip Henning | 44c | 56.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Maks Kasnikowski | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Philip Henning | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Philip Henning | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Philip Henning | 42c | 47.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Philip Henning | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maks Kasnikowski | 77c | 46.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 45.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Maks Kasnikowski | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 41.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 41.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Philip Henning | 42c | 34.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Maks Kasnikowski | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 28.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Philip Henning | 39c | 28.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 75c | 25.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Maks Kasnikowski | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…06bdbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 57c | 22.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.