Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49337c2aa0c1d99781daac8d248a49b9d14ac45b702a5136c7e008e8829ca876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Nemiga Gaming, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 7,240$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.42 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 6,865$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.3 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 6,410$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.03 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 3,184$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.72 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 3,112$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.88 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 2,740$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.63 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 2,390$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 2,190$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 2,014$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.08 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 1,950$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.17 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,937$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.51 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 1,752$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.91 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 1,628$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.39 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 1,491$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.8 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 1,248$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.91 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 1,050$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 1,013$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.37 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 940$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 916.25$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 902.72$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 876.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 866.34$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 845.02$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.13 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 769.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 750.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 726.76$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 710$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 695.42$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 674.34$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 662.92$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 643.72$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 611.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 584.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 583.64$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 570.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 507.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 500.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 484.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 480.58$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 479.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 429.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 407.51$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 366.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 364.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5d93backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 350.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 340.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 339.7$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 336.39$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 335.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 333.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 330.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 322.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 316.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 314.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 304.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 296.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 294.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 293.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 290.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 289.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 287.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 255.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc78…9055backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 251.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 244.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 240$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Nemiga Gaming | 5c | 234.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 231.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 228.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 224$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 223.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 221.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 209.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 206.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 252 | 54.4%137 W · 115 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 197.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 196.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 195.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 195.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 194.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 187.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 187.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 168.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.