Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5241f5188fc4b2df977d92f52c4fc0a9db8c233a8da5960f81e0d92873bc882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Nemiga Gaming, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 9,351$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.26 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 7,530$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.74 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.55 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 2,592$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.86 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 2,461$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 1,880$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.27 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 1,600$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.07 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 1,528$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.42 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 1,207$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.55 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 964.65$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 800$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 750.73$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 657.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 615.83$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 591.72$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 565.56$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.14 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 546.72$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.54 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 537.45$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 509.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 383.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 373.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 372.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 355.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 355.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 320.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 281.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 268.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 265$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 253.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 247.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 243.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 238.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 215.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 200.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 192.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 188.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 171.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 170.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 166.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 151.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 126.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 108.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…efdfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 94.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 78.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 75.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 69.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 67.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 62.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 61.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 59.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 53.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 49.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 45.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 39.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 34.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 33.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…1b41backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 27.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.