Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a13a05fdb862fa4908e03ba2572bf2ddb87db5b9b9f3f17f8e3d5c0fdf0ebf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 39c | 2,310$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.98 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 2,310$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.04 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.08 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 1,784$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,149$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.87 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 37c | 844.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 47c | 826$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.47 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 74c | 566.7$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 32c | 517.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Yes | 51c | 497.13$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 37c | 475.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 71c | 393.95$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 48c | 334.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 31c | 259.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 55c | 226.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 71c | 210.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 166 | 71.1%118 W · 48 L | +33.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 27c | 200.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 29c | 164.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 29c | 146.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 79c | 140.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 73c | 120.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 13c | 113.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 109.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 64c | 104$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 67c | 101.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 78c | 100.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 36c | 93.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 48c | 87.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 86.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 85.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 16c | 76.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 497 | 67.4%335 W · 162 L | +67.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Yes | 75c | 60.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 41c | 59.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 75c | 51.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…1184backed Yes | 28c | 45.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 41.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 27c | 39.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…4b41backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 20.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed No | 80c | 18.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 80c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.