Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c72884f78711f1b55f2504424510fb70ecbc7831f0c2854be514efaa02c49f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 2,478$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.39 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 1,757$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 16c | 1,739$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,488$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 1,484$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.64 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,318$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.66 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 1,008$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,008$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.73 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 36c | 877.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 24c | 763.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 599.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 23c | 474.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 357.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 35c | 340$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 339.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 293.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 293.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 31c | 285.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 14c | 279.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Yes | 36c | 268.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 75c | 267.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 237$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 31c | 213.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 64c | 204$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 12c | 196.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 13c | 193$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 191$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 185.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 6c | 175.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 168.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 21c | 164.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 149.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 14c | 146.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 11c | 143.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 117.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 112.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Yes | 9c | 107.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 100.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 35c | 84.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 28c | 81.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 66.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9b…2bf9backed Yes | 21c | 66.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…565abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 65c | 53.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed No | 65c | 51.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 32c | 50.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023b…262abacked Yes | 35c | 43.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 65c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed No | 65c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 78c | 25.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked No | 77c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.