Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a384ac48235973c088ec560dcc095383efb17048eabbe42b249b9958b7dae00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 906.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…f847backed Yes | 76c | 443.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 28c | 423.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 374.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 303.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 44c | 292.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 275.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 147.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 27c | 136.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 38c | 132.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 54c | 129.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked Yes | 31c | 115.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 115.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 73c | 113.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 47c | 111.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 105.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed No | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 440 | 58.2%256 W · 184 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 30c | 100.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…5313backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 69c | 96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 89.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…afc3backed Yes | 75c | 87.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…5bfbbacked Yes | 37c | 80.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 54c | 72.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 58c | 72.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 70.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 20c | 67.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…bea2backed Yes | 22c | 66.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 43c | 63.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…5511backed Yes | 30c | 57.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 56.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 34c | 53.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…7ab4backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 34c | 49.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 27c | 47.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 33c | 46.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 59c | 44.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 33c | 44.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 38c | 39.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 38.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 31c | 36.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 68c | 33.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…10edbacked No | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…0b51backed Yes | 39c | 33.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 41c | 30.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 66c | 29.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 28.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 121 | 74.4%90 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 66c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…d7c0backed Yes | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 69c | 20.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ff…aa59backed Yes | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…7c35backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…89e6backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 18.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…dcf5backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 68c | 15.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 66c | 15.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.