Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5647295882141503747b02cb775934dbc3238df07cf0ba322c992eb5bd35c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,453 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e16…e908backed No | 5c | 2,547$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…797dbacked No | 1c | 987.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 6c | 454.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 14c | 428.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 30c | 382.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 376.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 14c | 372.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 43c | 270.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 23c | 264.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 9c | 247.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 224.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 217.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 78c | 208.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 186.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 151$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 33c | 148.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…2c71backed No | 54c | 145.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 71c | 143$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked No | 21c | 141.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 34c | 141$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 70c | 139.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 73c | 129.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 35c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 68c | 122.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 29c | 121.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed No | 57c | 118.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 42c | 117.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…a036backed Yes | 46c | 115.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 68c | 107.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 38c | 106.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…ded6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 98.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 66c | 96.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 88.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 63c | 86.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…3d07backed No | 24c | 84.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 15c | 77.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 38c | 76.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 26c | 76.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…5eb7backed No | 60c | 74.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 55c | 71.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 54c | 66.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 55c | 64.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…87f6backed Yes | 56c | 64.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…640abacked Yes | 53c | 56.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 37c | 56.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 54.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 39c | 53.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…6dd3backed No | 52c | 51.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 43c | 50.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 32c | 50.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…4990backed No | 21c | 50.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…561bbacked Yes | 42c | 49.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 67c | 48.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 47.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 41c | 45.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed No | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 30c | 44.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…67a4backed No | 60c | 44.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…b3ffbacked Yes | 43c | 44.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 25c | 43.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…455cbacked Yes | 40c | 43.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 77c | 41.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 41.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 30c | 40.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 40c | 39.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed No | 66c | 37.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 31c | 36.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…498abacked Yes | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 59c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 33c | 31.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 29.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…efb5backed Yes | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…108fbacked Yes | 44c | 28.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…cf32backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 36c | 27.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Yes | 37c | 27.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.