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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes53c4,959$2,609 inLost-$2,609.491540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No47c2,026$952 inWon+$1,073.832547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes51c1,007$513 inLost-$512.918834.1%30 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon+$5301,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c719.1$348 inWon+$370.741,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c584.19$281 inWon+$303.271,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c533.25$258 inWon+$275.662,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No71c334.56$238 inWon+$96.2133442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Yes28c321.43$90 inLost-$903737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No50c309.57$155 inWon+$154.792369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c292.87$141 inWon+$151.791,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c196.72$96 inWon+$100.3372550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c193.38$95 inWon+$98.6277248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c173.77$89 inWon+$84.272,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c155$81 inLost-$81.0376037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No48c149.48$71 inWon+$78.1247342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No49c141$69 inWon+$71.9125141%103 W · 148 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c125.1$64 inLost-$63.81,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No47c117.56$55 inWon+$62.327737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c62.68$30 inWon+$32.691,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…05c8backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No48c57.69$28 inWon+$3055953.1%297 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No48c52.1$25 inWon+$27.0919355.4%107 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No47c49.48$23 inWon+$26.0954353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No47c41.89$20 inWon+$22.16454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes42c39.88$17 inLost-$16.731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No59c37.95$22 inWon+$15.7244251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed No48c34$16 inWon+$17.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes51c29.41$15 inLost-$152365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost-$155244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6d…039bbacked Yes51c20.61$11 inLost-$10.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.