Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36ddb1219737cde5748e4c61b5e67df044094e988f9129f4f48eee3a5572970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 2,727$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 39c | 2,060$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 58c | 1,956$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.32 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 43c | 1,433$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 66c | 1,168$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 1,151$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.92 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 66c | 1,111$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 929.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 18c | 812.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Over | 75c | 638.29$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 63c | 630.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 630.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 25c | 569.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 8c | 562$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 9c | 530$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 28c | 519.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 16c | 353.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 49c | 347.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 321.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 72c | 257.71$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 77c | 215$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 21c | 158.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 60c | 140.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 34c | 131.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 55c | 119.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 118.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 66c | 98.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 18c | 88.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 74.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 78c | 70.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 43c | 69.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 59c | 67.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 55c | 60.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Under | 67c | 56.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 56c | 53.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 43c | 52.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 57c | 42.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 41c | 28.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 51c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5this page
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Ararat-Armenia FA O/U 0.5Over won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Ararat-Armenia FA O/U 1.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Team to AdvanceArarat-Armenia FA won
- Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Ararat-Armenia FA (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.