TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Grambling State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama A&M Bulldogsof Alabama A&M Bulldogs, Grambling State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs64c3,741$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Grambling State Tigers66c3,208$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.2837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grambling State Tigers3c2,076$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.481,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Grambling State Tigers41c1,800$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.21,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grambling State Tigers44c1,636$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.423,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d2…6b85backed Grambling State Tigers67c1,566$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8b…5f7cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs33c1,564$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grambling State Tigers65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.962,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1418846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c798$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.181,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs64c450$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9922050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grambling State Tigers19c447.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.561,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Grambling State Tigers15c426.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grambling State Tigers24c406.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.871,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grambling State Tigers5c392.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs33c363.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grambling State Tigers32c361.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.013,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Grambling State Tigers30c357$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs33c350.79$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Grambling State Tigers67c301$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.821,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grambling State Tigers5c298.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Grambling State Tigers67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef8…c875backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs72c272.21$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c235.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4421347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Grambling State Tigers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Grambling State Tigers20c164.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs66c151.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.262458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.866756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c127.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grambling State Tigers36c116.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.013,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs32c112.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6621449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grambling State Tigers35c99.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs35c92.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9142339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs35c77.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.182,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Grambling State Tigers18c63.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Grambling State Tigers38c63.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c61.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.688940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Grambling State Tigers58c60.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.592,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8225230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grambling State Tigers38c57.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.722,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394b…b793backed Grambling State Tigers35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Grambling State Tigers33c55.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.154,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grambling State Tigers66c51.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grambling State Tigers41c51.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Grambling State Tigers66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1644955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c37.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4918230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs34c36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Grambling State Tigers38c35.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Grambling State Tigers45c31.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.830945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.026657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Grambling State Tigers67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Grambling State Tigers67c23.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58be…5537backed Grambling State Tigers66c22.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.132548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Grambling State Tigers69c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1835650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed Grambling State Tigers48c21.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c19.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Grambling State Tigers66c16.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.