MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccfb2eb2ff1d8b722b21fcecf5e94794410b839467a55d7c9a01579ba2f8498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rays | 43c | 92,029$39,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,572.53 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 57c | 45,619$25,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,772.28 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 57c | 35,525$20,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,275.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 76c | 29,503$22,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.17 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rays | 35c | 26,649$9,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.68 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 57c | 22,052$12,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 78c | 7,694$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.79 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 57c | 7,557$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Rays | 6c | 6,286$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 32c | 5,252$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 44c | 4,700$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 56c | 4,294$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.46 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rays | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Rays | 42c | 3,305$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.29 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 29c | 3,155$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.44 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 29c | 2,751$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Rays | 4c | 2,669$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rays | 1c | 2,385$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 55c | 2,178$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 43c | 1,750$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.28 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 2c | 1,572$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays | 6c | 1,532$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 45c | 1,281$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 45c | 948.89$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 3c | 910.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rays | 9c | 893.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 20c | 851.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 24c | 808.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 33c | 796$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 2c | 794.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 44c | 744.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 2c | 638.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…68a2backed Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 28c | 531.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 54c | 513.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays | 44c | 463.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 44c | 398.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Mariners | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 28c | 356.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 47c | 340$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Rays | 3c | 312.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 55c | 272$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Rays | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mariners | 58c | 209.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 54c | 206.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rays | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Rays | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Rays | 7c | 186.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 43c | 164$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked Mariners | 58c | 149$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mariners | 70c | 138.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 56c | 126$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rays | 45c | 124.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Rays | 10c | 118.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Mariners | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Mariners | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 11c | 102.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…3e29backed Rays | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Rays | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…93f4backed Mariners | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Rays | 43c | 69.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…cbc3backed Rays | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mariners | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Mariners | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Mariners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Rays | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Mariners | 59c | 48.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rays | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…6145backed Rays | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Rays | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Rays | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rays | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rays | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rays | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Rays | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Rays | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 45c | 22.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.