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Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion: Alex Barrena vs Cannon Kingsley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Barrenaof Alex Barrena, Cannon Kingsley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,343 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d7…0501backed Alex Barrena70c30,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.993073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cannon Kingsley30c11,642$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Barrena79c4,512$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.428,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alex Barrena78c4,400$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.081,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cannon Kingsley30c3,264$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alex Barrena69c2,378$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.561,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Alex Barrena79c1,617$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9221767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alex Barrena75c1,535$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.052,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Cannon Kingsley10c1,461$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cannon Kingsley31c1,190$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.61,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Alex Barrena64c1,165$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7318548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Cannon Kingsley31c1,128$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.155955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Alex Barrena64c1,000$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.947252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cannon Kingsley39c794.3$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.749,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alex Barrena72c778$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Alex Barrena67c748.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Cannon Kingsley54c663.67$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.394443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Cannon Kingsley29c636.24$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6235040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Alex Barrena56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.992763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cannon Kingsley21c566.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7511,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Barrena66c454.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.542,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cannon Kingsley19c439.58$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.524,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Barrena68c357.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.011,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alex Barrena75c340.49$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.272,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Cannon Kingsley30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Cannon Kingsley35c261.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Cannon Kingsley35c240$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Barrena67c194.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.466,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Cannon Kingsley28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Alex Barrena67c171.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.152373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Cannon Kingsley31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Cannon Kingsley28c156.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Cannon Kingsley29c151.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.018446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cannon Kingsley34c149.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Barrena69c146.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.91,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Cannon Kingsley11c138.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Cannon Kingsley25c137.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4236333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Cannon Kingsley30c128$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.486947.9%416 W · 453 L+31.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Alex Barrena69c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.514746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Cannon Kingsley10c102.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alex Barrena69c102.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Alex Barrena71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Cannon Kingsley31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Alex Barrena50c95.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.891,13650%568 W · 568 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cannon Kingsley28c91.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Cannon Kingsley37c80.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.726349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Alex Barrena63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3718460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cannon Kingsley34c75.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Alex Barrena70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432,10154.2%1,139 W · 962 L+65.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Cannon Kingsley35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8577047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Cannon Kingsley30c66.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Alex Barrena66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6116957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Alex Barrena72c60.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Cannon Kingsley35c57.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2113847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cannon Kingsley19c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.082,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Cannon Kingsley35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9527246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Alex Barrena67c55.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.443470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cannon Kingsley28c55.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cannon Kingsley35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe856…4711backed Alex Barrena60c49.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Cannon Kingsley30c49.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8322033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Cannon Kingsley35c43.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2415163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Alex Barrena69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Cannon Kingsley35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14af…887ebacked Alex Barrena59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Alex Barrena66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.647653.2%253 W · 223 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Alex Barrena65c38.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.719154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Alex Barrena70c35.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.873863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Alex Barrena70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Cannon Kingsley35c33.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5653544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Alex Barrena71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.728462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Cannon Kingsley36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Alex Barrena71c26.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.768845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Alex Barrena70c26.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.022352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alex Barrena64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Alex Barrena76c24.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.743058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Cannon Kingsley46c23.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9924244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Alex Barrena72c23.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.568361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Alex Barrena65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Alex Barrena78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.265967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…e8f7backed Alex Barrena76c18.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.435278.8%41 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7dfe…5b91backed Alex Barrena70c18.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed Alex Barrena71c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.