Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed5c3463fa1618ff607b52ad7747a5298ba54d4196690758d733fdc5533106e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 31c | 874.39$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.31 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 832.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.88 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 69c | 498.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 440.38$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 28c | 407.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 62c | 383.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 337.53$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 220.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 40c | 216.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 40c | 208.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 39c | 202.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…ed72backed Yes | 35c | 181$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 50c | 178.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 143.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 38c | 140.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 135.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…3ef1backed Yes | 79c | 131.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 130.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 128.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 44c | 115.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 60c | 113.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked Yes | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 73c | 99.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 52c | 98.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 94.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 94.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…9922backed Yes | 66c | 84.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 65c | 77.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 75.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 74.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 65c | 61.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 60.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…8764backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 57.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 55.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 55.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…d0a7backed No | 72c | 55.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 34c | 53.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 34c | 50.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed Yes | 30c | 49.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 36c | 48.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 68c | 45.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed Yes | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…f04fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 38c | 38.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…6ecabacked No | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e1…716dbacked Yes | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 60c | 36.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 33c | 31.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 69c | 30.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…701abacked No | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 63c | 27.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed No | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…2202backed Yes | 44c | 23.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…cd22backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 44c | 22.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…899fbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed Yes | 59c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 64c | 17.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C or higher on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.