Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50022a7ee658dc47f42cb131b49f8f608f6032f5d7e73c3adb813a29bdeb5758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…e804backed No | 48c | 431.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…1870backed No | 4c | 384.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 373.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 321.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 72c | 284.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 51c | 283.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 44c | 228.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 219.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 14c | 209.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 189.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 24c | 166.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 157.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 145.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 144.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…c962backed No | 18c | 137.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 136.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 9c | 133.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 15c | 125.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 52c | 111.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 36c | 102.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 23c | 99.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 54c | 99.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 50c | 97.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 92.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 85.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 48c | 80.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 80.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 67c | 74.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 49c | 73.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 71.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 49c | 68.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 61.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 51c | 57.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 50c | 57.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 54.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 52c | 50.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 44c | 49.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 53c | 47.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 52c | 47.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 36c | 45.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 24c | 44.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 49c | 42.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 53c | 38.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 61c | 36.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 52c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 60c | 36.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 51c | 36.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…4d70backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 74c | 33.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 60c | 32.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 31.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…e624backed Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…a8b1backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Yes | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed Yes | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…eb5cbacked Yes | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 51c | 27.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 42c | 26.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…38fabacked Yes | 48c | 23.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 50c | 23.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…ba75backed No | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…63f8backed No | 64c | 22.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 70c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 49c | 21.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 48c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…c040backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…c62ebacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 71c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 76c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.