MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520c28a56f79e8f37a9d3d65a199c0950f03951b5802cf5f1dffdf50169dfaa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 46c | 54,577$25,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,471.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 36,789$19,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,866.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 54c | 6,864$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.4 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 4,187$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.36 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 2,998$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 47c | 2,536$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.65 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 1,105$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 997.8$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 789.85$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 732.23$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 46c | 666.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 581.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 573$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 54c | 461$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 64c | 337.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 187.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 38c | 180.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 53c | 163.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 55c | 132.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 123.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 99.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 99.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 85.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 72.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 54c | 56.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…1115backed Under | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Under | 47c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 39c | 38.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 37c | 35.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 50c | 31.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 54c | 29.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 54c | 26.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 26.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 49c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 53c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 60c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…a460backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…bd7ebacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.