Tennis · resolved market
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5527c016293ea8dede3e844b180ae3f9a622454f337a27e6476e67cd0b5b1c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Hernan Casanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Guido Justo | 79c | 6,340$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.67 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…d6ebbacked Hernan Casanova | 18c | 5,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 70c | 2,022$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hernan Casanova | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Hernan Casanova | 14c | 1,874$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hernan Casanova | 21c | 1,464$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 1,432$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Guido Justo | 75c | 1,299$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hernan Casanova | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 960.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hernan Casanova | 39c | 904$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.81 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked Hernan Casanova | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hernan Casanova | 9c | 737.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Hernan Casanova | 44c | 671.3$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 76c | 581.85$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guido Justo | 56c | 570.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Guido Justo | 76c | 517.42$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hernan Casanova | 33c | 470.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Guido Justo | 75c | 447.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hernan Casanova | 26c | 438.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hernan Casanova | 28c | 356.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Guido Justo | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Hernan Casanova | 30c | 328.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hernan Casanova | 28c | 327.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hernan Casanova | 28c | 291.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f609backed Guido Justo | 80c | 287.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hernan Casanova | 25c | 262$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Guido Justo | 79c | 246.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Guido Justo | 56c | 227$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Hernan Casanova | 10c | 194.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Guido Justo | 57c | 172.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hernan Casanova | 43c | 172.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Hernan Casanova | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Guido Justo | 78c | 148.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Hernan Casanova | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Guido Justo | 70c | 129.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Guido Justo | 78c | 128.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hernan Casanova | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Guido Justo | 79c | 125.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Guido Justo | 78c | 118.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Hernan Casanova | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hernan Casanova | 19c | 111.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Guido Justo | 70c | 109.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hernan Casanova | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Hernan Casanova | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hernan Casanova | 32c | 98.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Guido Justo | 79c | 97.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Guido Justo | 57c | 96.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 90.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Guido Justo | 71c | 75.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Hernan Casanova | 19c | 69.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guido Justo | 74c | 68.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Hernan Casanova | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Guido Justo | 57c | 66.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 59.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Hernan Casanova | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Hernan Casanova | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Hernan Casanova | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Hernan Casanova | 27c | 46.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…7d0dbacked Hernan Casanova | 25c | 43.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Guido Justo | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hernan Casanova | 36c | 35.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guido Justo | 61c | 34.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hernan Casanova | 36c | 34.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hernan Casanova | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Guido Justo | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guido Justo | 69c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…8989backed Guido Justo | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Guido Justo | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Guido Justo | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Guido Justo | 70c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Guido Justo | 72c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.