Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5604cefc904d216c5fa950a90dff9aad05219675e1ea3517d352f3cfbb5cda19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof SU Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SU Esports | 49c | 5,457$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.69 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 2,331$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.39 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked SU Esports | 57c | 2,258$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.32 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 2,219$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.22 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 1,629$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.62 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 1,547$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.87 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SU Esports | 42c | 1,476$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.26 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SU Esports | 37c | 1,228$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.46 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed SU Esports | 41c | 1,095$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed SU Esports | 42c | 837.95$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SU Esports | 42c | 834$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.33 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SU Esports | 47c | 806$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.92 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked SU Esports | 41c | 549.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 479.38$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 466.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked SU Esports | 41c | 439.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked SU Esports | 41c | 388.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 360.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 359.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked SU Esports | 39c | 340.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 273.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports | 44c | 239.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 231.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SU Esports | 31c | 226.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked SU Esports | 50c | 203.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed SU Esports | 50c | 185.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed SU Esports | 41c | 183.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 161.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 160.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SU Esports | 36c | 142.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 131.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed SU Esports | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed SU Esports | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 107.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 77.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 75.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…7c09backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 65.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 234 | 58.5%137 W · 97 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed SU Esports | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 51.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 48.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 47.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 282 | 60.6%171 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…2112backed SU Esports | 56c | 40.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…44abbacked SU Esports | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 35.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed SU Esports | 40c | 32.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed SU Esports | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…00eabacked Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…49c9backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed SU Esports | 58c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.