TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bushido Wildcatsof SU Esports, Bushido Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a86…4998backed SU Esports27c12,598$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.2618429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Bushido Wildcats59c8,407$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.8958559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81cd…9c75backed SU Esports37c6,514$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Bushido Wildcats59c5,008$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.6862158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Bushido Wildcats63c5,000$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.7720450.5%103 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed SU Esports44c4,860$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.3937647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd25…902abacked Bushido Wildcats57c3,459$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked SU Esports48c3,338$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf5…d9f2backed Bushido Wildcats52c2,725$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.561478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Bushido Wildcats58c2,708$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.961,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked SU Esports42c2,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5961045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1229…fa59backed Bushido Wildcats59c2,271$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f4…1cb2backed Bushido Wildcats62c1,885$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x791d…e0d5backed Bushido Wildcats56c1,727$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd54a…fa6bbacked Bushido Wildcats61c1,673$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…97e4backed Bushido Wildcats60c1,660$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+161.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SU Esports51c1,414$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.471,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed SU Esports44c1,375$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.312843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed SU Esports42c1,363$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SU Esports41c1,302$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.81,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed SU Esports46c1,302$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.116645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SU Esports20c1,281$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.22,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked SU Esports46c1,273$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.440741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed SU Esports40c1,271$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8882554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Bushido Wildcats58c1,115$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.187247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30bf…a6f7backed SU Esports51c1,083$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed SU Esports40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed SU Esports45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked SU Esports46c983.49$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012246.7%57 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats75c979.64$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.971,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats72c915.11$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.671,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked SU Esports44c728.49$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31899747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Bushido Wildcats53c684$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.746058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats76c674$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.751,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats74c632.09$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4694444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Bushido Wildcats55c602.64$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.195740.4%23 W · 34 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Bushido Wildcats58c596.07$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.481291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+92.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SU Esports39c592.77$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.21,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed Bushido Wildcats55c578.91$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.91850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63b…b8cfbacked SU Esports28c570.52$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.023450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c70…9168backed Bushido Wildcats47c561.21$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.665949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Bushido Wildcats53c529.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4941133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Bushido Wildcats53c522.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.815637.5%21 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28a…01c5backed Bushido Wildcats53c516.66$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats74c505.9$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3885849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed SU Esports50c498.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d91…16abbacked SU Esports47c470.12$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9613456.7%76 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked SU Esports26c465.69$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6344846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SU Esports41c399.3$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.561,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed SU Esports36c372.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.218336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Bushido Wildcats60c366.22$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6224434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed Bushido Wildcats54c361$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked SU Esports41c350.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.333139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Bushido Wildcats59c350$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1458648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b5…2ff8backed Bushido Wildcats57c344.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked SU Esports41c334.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2117241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e5…3b15backed SU Esports26c320$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked SU Esports40c300.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8538931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e6…9d86backed SU Esports26c292$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bushido Wildcats59c291.69$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.531,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed SU Esports43c290.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.934448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SU Esports42c284.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.021,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed SU Esports36c281.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Bushido Wildcats54c280.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3795048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked SU Esports39c272.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8314262.7%89 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats52c261$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.282,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed SU Esports28c260$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.880832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked SU Esports42c255$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.154934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed SU Esports38c242.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2813933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39fb…e613backed Bushido Wildcats74c235$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed SU Esports36c226$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3612935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed SU Esports37c221.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Bushido Wildcats75c220$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5566845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked SU Esports46c213.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.532356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed SU Esports48c206.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9916150.9%82 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SU Esports39c206.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bushido Wildcats67c204.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1135435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed Bushido Wildcats41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5567…45fdbacked Bushido Wildcats74c198$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed Bushido Wildcats57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.982556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Bushido Wildcats60c179.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2244461.7%274 W · 170 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Bushido Wildcats55c179$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1517943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Bushido Wildcats57c172.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed SU Esports27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.853545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SU Esports40c152.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9743837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed SU Esports43c146.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1563426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SU Esports38c145.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.292,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5419…43f9backed SU Esports44c137$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.281833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed Bushido Wildcats72c135.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9916142.2%68 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bushido Wildcats58c128.61$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.361,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25ea…2675backed SU Esports39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033456%187 W · 147 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed SU Esports47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked SU Esports47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked SU Esports39c125.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.131,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed SU Esports53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038945.2%176 W · 213 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked SU Esports44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.992450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cf…9ddabacked Bushido Wildcats74c107$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats71c106.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.622,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8f…e7ffbacked SU Esports42c106$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.522425%6 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Bushido Wildcats65c104.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.