Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562230c9e0135e9250cef88b8359318b773c1e1a36429d12eb667cfc4747abd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,797$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.25 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 540.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 27c | 260.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 36c | 221.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 45c | 214.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 67c | 205.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…45ebbacked No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 192.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 59c | 176.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 174.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 51c | 168.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 36c | 166.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 164.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 162.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 37c | 151.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Yes | 64c | 136.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 55c | 129.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 47c | 127.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 122.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 67c | 115.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…b569backed No | 46c | 106.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 72c | 106.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 54c | 104.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…9964backed Yes | 49c | 104.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 48c | 99.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 98.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…128abacked No | 42c | 96.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed Yes | 40c | 77.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 65c | 76.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 65c | 59.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 45c | 54.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 66c | 54.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 53.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 53c | 53.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 45c | 52.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Yes | 60c | 52.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 35c | 51.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 51c | 46.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 67c | 44.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 43.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 70c | 43.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…90d9backed Yes | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 66c | 39.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 38.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 48c | 37.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Yes | 38c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 34c | 37.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 36.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…931bbacked Yes | 53c | 36.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked Yes | 65c | 35.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 37c | 34.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 55c | 33.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 49c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 46c | 31.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 30.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed Yes | 47c | 30.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 47c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 59c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 50c | 28.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 50c | 27.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 63c | 27.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…2309backed Yes | 70c | 27.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 71c | 25.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…9750backed No | 54c | 25.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 49c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 78c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked Yes | 70c | 24.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 66c | 24.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 59c | 23.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 51c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…7e96backed Yes | 61c | 22.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7453…aee6backed Yes | 55c | 22.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 72c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 54c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 70c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…7e66backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 55c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 70c | 17.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 65c | 17.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 16.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.