Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ffc03bce0bc7adb3bf5d280b22c59f1da7cefe0436b51cfa70d2a014b2be57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 53c | 667.79$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 621$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 300.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 43c | 297.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…1f7cbacked No | 57c | 220.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 33c | 217$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 35c | 211.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 44c | 207.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 180.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 55c | 178.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 38c | 171.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…7f28backed No | 61c | 163.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 28c | 157$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 152.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 50c | 151.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 65c | 150.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 52c | 148.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…63d0backed No | 68c | 143.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 131.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 28c | 129.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 35c | 123.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 115.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 35c | 109.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 107.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 41c | 106.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 57c | 102.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 102.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 60c | 102.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 55c | 101.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 40c | 99.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 58c | 98.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 44c | 92.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 48c | 91.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…e576backed Yes | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 89.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 84.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 26c | 75.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 29c | 69.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 26c | 66.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 29c | 66.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 64.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 74c | 54.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 78c | 53.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…b928backed Yes | 60c | 51.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 50.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…35c5backed No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 49.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 59c | 48.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 24c | 46.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 34c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…2f35backed Yes | 42c | 42.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 58c | 42.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…e6bcbacked Yes | 43c | 37.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…ff75backed Yes | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 42c | 35.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 32.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 42c | 32.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc705…b62fbacked Yes | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 33c | 31.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 48c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…1153backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…8b41backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 43c | 27.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 40c | 26.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 44c | 24.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Yes | 41c | 24.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 60cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 60c | 22.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 21.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…37b9backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 51c | 19.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.