Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59330b6b9ef9e1f2cb5b18d492c42f75e4dff989da22c6b5580780dd197808bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4761…88c6backed Yes | 0c | 11,555$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 57c | 1,478$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.62 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 72c | 500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.25 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 70c | 498.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 36c | 343$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 72c | 264.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 29c | 222.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 43c | 214$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 30c | 210.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 70c | 187.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 56c | 183.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 177.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 72c | 167.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 38c | 162.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 31c | 158.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed No | 42c | 151.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 133.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 63c | 123.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…80dbbacked Yes | 69c | 118.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…44b7backed No | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 106.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 67c | 105.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…b8fabacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 43c | 93.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 92.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Yes | 60c | 89.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 29c | 87.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 45c | 84.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 35c | 84.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 81.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 49c | 80.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 78.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked Yes | 36c | 71.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 72c | 71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 35c | 69.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 31c | 66.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 30c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…41d4backed No | 28c | 62.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 61.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 66c | 61.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…d814backed Yes | 71c | 57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…a1abbacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 45c | 54.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 47c | 53.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…7cb3backed No | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 70c | 49.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc49backed Yes | 63c | 47.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 32c | 46.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 30c | 45.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 39.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…b0d4backed Yes | 72c | 35.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 70c | 35.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 71c | 33.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 33.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 69c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…105fbacked Yes | 70c | 25.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 55c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 63c | 21.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…eb6ebacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…0370backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…47c0backed Yes | 72c | 19.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…167ebacked Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 72c | 16.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 70c | 16.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed Yes | 72c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Yes | 68c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -16.6wins | -0.29per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 70c | 15.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…63d7backed Yes | 73c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…864dbacked Yes | 71c | 14.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.