NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594f681bc59ccff04c561d622f398aad36bdf7ad00b721aae47213328fa2795c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 876 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Grizzlies | 55c | 27,693$15,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,230.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…b195backed Grizzlies | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 52c | 19,122$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 56c | 15,530$8,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.19 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 47c | 10,764$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.32 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 58c | 6,676$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.32 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,666$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.98 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,537$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.07 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 44c | 6,349$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.52 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,275$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.09 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 5,031$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 4,668$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.36 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 4,540$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 4,185$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,905$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.3 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,485$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.75 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Rockets | 53c | 2,851$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.59 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,640$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.92 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 2,226$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.54 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Rockets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Rockets | 70c | 1,997$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…7a6ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,978$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…fc9abacked Rockets | 48c | 1,978$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,933$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.07 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 48c | 1,900$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.14 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,891$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Rockets | 43c | 1,880$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,879$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,866$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.88 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 48c | 1,825$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.91 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.76 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,800$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.57 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Rockets | 60c | 1,796$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.18 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rockets | 66c | 1,550$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,530$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.5 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 52c | 1,487$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.19 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Rockets | 47c | 1,456$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.56 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,357$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,323$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Rockets | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,239$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.07 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,199$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets | 53c | 1,192$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Rockets | 73c | 1,100$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,062$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…af5abacked Rockets | 64c | 1,058$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rockets | 69c | 1,035$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Rockets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…5669backed Rockets | 73c | 940$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 53c | 909.1$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.28 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 71c | 874.71$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 34c | 800$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 44c | 776.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.73 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 56c | 774.49$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Grizzlies | 48c | 765.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b3…96bebacked Rockets | 64c | 749.41$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…718abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 722.07$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rockets | 51c | 714.28$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 712.14$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 670.92$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Rockets | 75c | 663.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Rockets | 46c | 656.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 53c | 647.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 624.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rockets | 44c | 587.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.61 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…9072backed Grizzlies | 52c | 578.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Rockets | 53c | 578.78$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Rockets | 68c | 570.89$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 48c | 570.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…d84cbacked Rockets | 55c | 547.51$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…0cd4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 537.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Rockets | 79c | 530.39$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 19c | 527.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…260bbacked Rockets | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Grizzlies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…c268backed Grizzlies | 31c | 487.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Rockets | 43c | 461.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Rockets | 49c | 452.37$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Rockets | 45c | 440.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…17a0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 413.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…b710backed Rockets | 49c | 407.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Rockets | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3307…b9dabacked Rockets | 54c | 390.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 51c | 389.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Grizzlies | 31c | 366.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Rockets | 60c | 364.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rockets | 53c | 359.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 53c | 340.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.