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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed No23c85,690$19,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,281.012934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes79c18,345$14,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.792,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes80c17,000$13,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4702524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked No19c6,300$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes77c6,095$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.183,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No20c5,624$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed No19c5,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No14c4,665$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.056442.2%27 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes78c4,587$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.4377248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes78c3,928$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes77c3,600$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82812351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes78c3,598$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.2972550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No24c3,000$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.838431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes79c2,737$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.921,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes78c2,641$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1547244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes77c2,491$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.041,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No21c2,456$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6314358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes77c1,851$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.391,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes77c1,685$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2925248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No33c1,332$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5665943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes77c1,298$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5447342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No19c1,180$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.291,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes78c1,151$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6576037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No10c1,122$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.243450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes79c1,083$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.621,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes80c1,067$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.044551.1%23 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes77c993.83$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8410054%54 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes73c967$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.78336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes80c937.5$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No17c885.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed No19c882$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes77c880.18$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4441645.9%191 W · 225 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No19c868.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.993327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes78c700.01$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes78c594.82$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.082,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c582.48$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1576356.1%428 W · 335 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No19c512$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2832547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No22c454$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6614434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c443.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7785142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…888bbacked No18c400$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No19c394.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.963249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes78c391$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3722644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes77c376.08$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.57342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes79c375.66$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.361,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No20c363.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x482e…2c02backed Yes80c296.08$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes79c295.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2754353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes78c294.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.814153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No20c289.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No20c226.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No20c204.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2349555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423240.9%95 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937932.9%26 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No7c145$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.159051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No20c142.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.189153.8%49 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f4…df62backed Yes71c137.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68c…f805backed Yes71c137.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…2981backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes76c127$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.488574.1%63 W · 22 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes78c125.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.934754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed No20c122.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes79c114.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.711376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9822237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No19c109.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.917447.7%83 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x603b…5339backed Yes80c101.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No19c98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked No20c91.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c81.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.814749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12181%17 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes80c62.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes77c62.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8936…9cf3backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267756.3%381 W · 296 L+34.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Yes78c51.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.297458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.234449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3acd…5b1bbacked Yes78c42.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6171…4228backed Yes77c40.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes75c34.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5723245.3%105 W · 127 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4563649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes80c26.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes61c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4512239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes61c26.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.372867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac3…3c8bbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e1…5ad3backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a8…b58bbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Yes77c23.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes77c22.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8379…3c91backed Yes78c21.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84369.8%30 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes63c18.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes70c18.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.713850%19 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df4…bbc4backed Yes80c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Yes78c16.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.628100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1300…d632backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.