Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4cf14f9000b314820b1269799aa7538051619a80e2170a9d32528c901bdba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nadia Podoroskaof Nadia Podoroska, Lucciana Perez Alarcon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14b2…e055backed Nadia Podoroska | 38c | 7,239$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 55c | 4,296$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.79 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 72c | 2,807$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.03 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Nadia Podoroska | 32c | 1,874$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.31 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 62c | 1,803$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.28 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Nadia Podoroska | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.88 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 69c | 1,205$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.07 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 73c | 704.71$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 4c | 566.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 68c | 478$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 56c | 412.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 380.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 360$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 73c | 297.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 67c | 295.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 295.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Nadia Podoroska | 79c | 214.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Nadia Podoroska | 79c | 203.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Nadia Podoroska | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 179.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Nadia Podoroska | 22c | 178.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 74c | 120.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nadia Podoroska | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Nadia Podoroska | 32c | 90.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 69c | 77.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 19c | 76.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 71c | 65.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Nadia Podoroska | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Nadia Podoroska | 33c | 51.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Nadia Podoroska | 69c | 51.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 68c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 44c | 45.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Nadia Podoroska | 32c | 36.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nadia Podoroska | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nadia Podoroska | 56c | 29.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.