NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af03ff402451d6ea63feb74029692610c1c75ddb6fb8b7aedceeaf8aa79a8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Celtics | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…7f2dbacked Raptors | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 22c | 13,197$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.81 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Celtics | 5c | 11,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 32c | 10,964$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.56 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 11c | 10,316$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.32 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Celtics | 60c | 10,132$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.28 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 11c | 10,101$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,959.26 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 11c | 9,350$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,332.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.8 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…463cbacked Raptors | 12c | 5,043$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Raptors | 39c | 4,286$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.58 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 10c | 4,282$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.42 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.83 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 22c | 3,856$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 77c | 3,647$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 10c | 3,202$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.86 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 10c | 3,074$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.66 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 52c | 2,826$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 14c | 2,759$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.38 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 18c | 2,702$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 2c | 2,153$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 66c | 2,098$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.1 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 16c | 2,035$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.31 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Celtics | 2c | 1,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,704$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.24 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,637$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 75c | 1,449$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.74 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Celtics | 78c | 1,406$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.88 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Raptors | 12c | 1,353$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.74 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,300$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.32 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed Raptors | 13c | 1,300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Raptors | 21c | 1,286$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Celtics | 11c | 1,250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Raptors | 10c | 1,137$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Raptors | 10c | 1,100$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors | 15c | 1,100$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Raptors | 20c | 1,084$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.65 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…779bbacked Raptors | 20c | 1,010$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Raptors | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Raptors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Celtics | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Raptors | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Raptors | 12c | 999.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.9 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9c4bbacked Raptors | 13c | 929.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +132%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Raptors | 11c | 909.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.79 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors | 11c | 909.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.11 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 34c | 870.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Celtics | 9c | 840$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Raptors | 24c | 816.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics | 60c | 800$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…5d18backed Raptors | 12c | 799.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +230%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…16dbbacked Raptors | 13c | 776.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…31e5backed Raptors | 17c | 704.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +283%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Celtics | 15c | 704$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Raptors | 11c | 700$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 18c | 678.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.78 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Raptors | 14c | 603.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.82 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 11c | 600$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 76c | 581.21$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.35 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Raptors | 13c | 544$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics | 42c | 534.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.54 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Raptors | 13c | 525.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3ac2backed Raptors | 12c | 489.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Celtics | 64c | 419.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Raptors | 66c | 418.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 12c | 416.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Raptors | 22c | 400$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.05 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Raptors | 14c | 398.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.41 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 13c | 384.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.56 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f58…2b0cbacked Raptors | 11c | 381.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 20c | 369.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.38 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…7cd8backed Raptors | 11c | 354.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +423.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Celtics | 80c | 337$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Raptors | 46c | 326.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Raptors | 20c | 323.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…76f4backed Raptors | 11c | 309.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +163%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Raptors | 34c | 304.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…226fbacked Raptors | 12c | 302$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Raptors | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…e913backed Raptors | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Celtics | 45c | 297.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 10c | 295$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.51 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors | 48c | 283.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raptors | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Celtics | 38c | 271.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…1a68backed Raptors | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Raptors | 50c | 259.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Raptors | 12c | 245.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.37 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Raptors | 11c | 240.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Raptors | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Raptors | 19c | 210.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Raptors | 11c | 203.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Raptors | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.