Fifa International · resolved market
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c173f09ed1459e40b2969c7d79272c0dff31127038e4c3d54f84b6eff82ef8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 19c | 529$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 59c | 520.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 62c | 324.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 236.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Yes | 25c | 120.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 100.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 69c | 72.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 53 | 86.8%46 W · 7 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…b02dbacked Yes | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 74c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goalsthis page
- Akram Afif: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismaël Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismaël Koné: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsYes won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsYes won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan Osorio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohammed Muntari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohammed Muntari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Owen Goodman: 2+ savesNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shotsYes won
- Yusuf Abdurisag: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.