Cyle Larin: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf08b9a125e18391eda6c60bf4aef2b678832e1d4bb46a639ed16996af8ac6e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,669 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes	44c	301.3$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.28	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed No	62c	277.06$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.68	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes	42c	257.14$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.14	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	40c	223$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.16	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked No	66c	129.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.19	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	14c	129.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9f72…b02dbacked Yes	44c	127.27$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	57c	119.75$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes	32c	99.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.99	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…4eacbacked Yes	42c	95.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No	59c	79.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	58c	77.19$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.77	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	42c	71.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	54c	69.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	41c	51.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes	39c	39.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes	48c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	132	68.2%90 W · 42 L	+20.0wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e70…c74bbacked No	59c	34.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	39c	33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.05	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…fe73backed Yes	40c	28.65$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.19	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	61c	27.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	58c	25.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cyle Larin: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event