Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Daniel Salazar Martinez vs Lorenzo Bocchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c946092ccce140b3cd995ae0e4a967ba142fc255cfbcb912b014b58bdb5f4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Bocchiof Daniel Salazar Martinez, Lorenzo Bocchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 27c | 19,455$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.24 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 68c | 3,336$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 28c | 2,161$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.48 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 41c | 1,690$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 28c | 1,555$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.97 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 69c | 1,381$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.67 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 75c | 1,076$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 76c | 915.89$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 16c | 885.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 74c | 848.97$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 33c | 831.21$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 76c | 633.47$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 18c | 626.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 73c | 492.82$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…54c5backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 32c | 419.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 71c | 323.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 58c | 305$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 23c | 214.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 211$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…d015backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 189$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 27c | 155.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 32c | 155.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 22c | 155.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 22c | 130.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 41c | 115.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 72c | 114.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 69c | 101.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 25c | 92.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 73c | 83.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 37c | 76.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 60c | 66.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 62.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Salazar Martinez | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 73c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Daniel Salazar Martinez | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 79c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c21…be9ebacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.