Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Min Liu vs Berta Bonardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d683dee436b17f058eaf73e35508db894f9ea0eefb3fbf8e721b431730ce2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berta Bonardiof Min Liu, Berta Bonardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Berta Bonardi | 45c | 1,945$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.1 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Min Liu | 52c | 1,348$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Berta Bonardi | 43c | 1,020$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.12 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Min Liu | 55c | 822.09$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.09 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Min Liu | 37c | 563.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Berta Bonardi | 42c | 510.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Min Liu | 45c | 406.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Min Liu | 48c | 380.91$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Min Liu | 40c | 368.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Berta Bonardi | 56c | 291.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Berta Bonardi | 33c | 280$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…3771backed Berta Bonardi | 63c | 177.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Min Liu | 32c | 171.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Berta Bonardi | 59c | 168.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Berta Bonardi | 51c | 156.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Min Liu | 58c | 148.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Min Liu | 39c | 134.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Berta Bonardi | 68c | 125.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Min Liu | 46c | 111.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Berta Bonardi | 65c | 111.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Berta Bonardi | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Min Liu | 48c | 101.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Berta Bonardi | 47c | 101.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Min Liu | 63c | 93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Min Liu | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Min Liu | 51c | 90.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Berta Bonardi | 56c | 79.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berta Bonardi | 66c | 75.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Min Liu | 53c | 74.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Min Liu | 29c | 72.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Berta Bonardi | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Berta Bonardi | 48c | 59.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Min Liu | 65c | 55.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Min Liu | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Min Liu | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Min Liu | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Berta Bonardi | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Min Liu | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Berta Bonardi | 46c | 52.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Berta Bonardi | 35c | 47.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Min Liu | 50c | 43.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Berta Bonardi | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Min Liu | 44c | 33.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Min Liu | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Berta Bonardi | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Berta Bonardi | 38c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Berta Bonardi | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Berta Bonardi | 49c | 26.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Berta Bonardi | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Berta Bonardi | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Berta Bonardi | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.