Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2ed5aa2aee81e289dd95b0303f9727d59949440b838c111a41bfa3c3891114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ya Yi Yangof Haruka Kaji, Ya Yi Yang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Haruka Kaji | 52c | 9,333$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.45 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ya Yi Yang | 55c | 6,265$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ya Yi Yang | 25c | 2,889$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ya Yi Yang | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Haruka Kaji | 79c | 1,831$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.92 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Haruka Kaji | 77c | 1,750$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Ya Yi Yang | 23c | 1,750$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Ya Yi Yang | 18c | 1,359$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.47 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ya Yi Yang | 19c | 987.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.53 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Haruka Kaji | 5c | 848.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ya Yi Yang | 19c | 824$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.44 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Haruka Kaji | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Ya Yi Yang | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ya Yi Yang | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Haruka Kaji | 52c | 414.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Haruka Kaji | 10c | 360.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Haruka Kaji | 42c | 353$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ya Yi Yang | 20c | 287.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Ya Yi Yang | 21c | 273.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Haruka Kaji | 67c | 254.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ya Yi Yang | 28c | 215$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Haruka Kaji | 77c | 187.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ya Yi Yang | 27c | 172.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Haruka Kaji | 65c | 163.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Haruka Kaji | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ya Yi Yang | 38c | 121$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Haruka Kaji | 67c | 120.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Ya Yi Yang | 27c | 116.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Ya Yi Yang | 22c | 116.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Haruka Kaji | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ya Yi Yang | 18c | 104$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ya Yi Yang | 24c | 102.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Haruka Kaji | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ya Yi Yang | 48c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Haruka Kaji | 66c | 88.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Haruka Kaji | 70c | 78.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Haruka Kaji | 51c | 78.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…8d0abacked Ya Yi Yang | 30c | 67.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Ya Yi Yang | 22c | 47.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Haruka Kaji | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ya Yi Yang | 27c | 42.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Haruka Kaji | 39c | 40.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ya Yi Yang | 38c | 40.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Haruka Kaji | 65c | 39.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Ya Yi Yang | 33c | 38.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Ya Yi Yang | 37c | 32.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…1c2fbacked Haruka Kaji | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Haruka Kaji | 68c | 24.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Haruka Kaji | 77c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Haruka Kaji | 78c | 14.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.