Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6085a5e9abf07da525a6c793c9995635468c9467ffeec9952880e5479340220d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 25c | 8,282$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.14 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 41c | 8,179$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.21 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 8,133$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.95 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 0c | 6,456$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 4,659$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.02 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 4,649$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Spirit | 73c | 3,809$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.65 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 37c | 3,359$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.78 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 32c | 3,208$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.06 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 73c | 2,741$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.86 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,512$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.75 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,229$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,105$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,779$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,715$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,331$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.01 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,169$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 31c | 972$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 74c | 923.41$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 895.02$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.78 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 34c | 850.44$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.65 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 711.58$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked MOUZ | 3c | 673.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Spirit | 68c | 590.34$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 37c | 541.56$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 29c | 506.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 479.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ | 30c | 442.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 34c | 440$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 68c | 436$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ | 35c | 360.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed MOUZ | 30c | 349.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed MOUZ | 44c | 322.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 28c | 244.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed MOUZ | 16c | 229.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…6b34backed Team Spirit | 44c | 227.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Team Spirit | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 29c | 203.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Team Spirit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 73c | 129.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MOUZ | 29c | 122$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed MOUZ | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 60c | 66.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 56.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…942dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MOUZ | 46c | 44.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 77c | 36.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…9c6abacked MOUZ | 42c | 35.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Team Spirit | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Team Spirit | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…3239backed MOUZ | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.