Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615605cc8a0bf8a138e85b87362e69dad877049fc99e72e67157ef10c16635f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Mananchaya Sawangkaew
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 16,534$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.43 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 14c | 9,440$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 8,208$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 7,524$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.45 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 17c | 5,500$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8c | 5,345$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…a68fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 4,224$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8c | 3,800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 3,384$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.75 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 6c | 3,100$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8c | 2,942$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.35 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 2,575$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…bd78backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 1,479$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 1,447$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 14c | 1,439$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…4fdebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 18c | 1,410$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 1,361$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 1,356$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 1,002$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 6c | 803$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 19c | 760.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 7c | 725.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 645.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 549.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 499.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 7c | 442.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 425.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 418.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 14c | 367.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8c | 339.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…0dacbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 325.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 316.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 312.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 271.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 252.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 17c | 239.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 17c | 238.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 222.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 12c | 220.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 175.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 171.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 15c | 101.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewthis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs SawangkaewMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs SawangkaewMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Sawangkaew (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.