Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ce6ab29b72afa6505676c1eeac90628e531517e519b7a9f1226c75c89b6f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksii Krutykhof Oleksii Krutykh, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt | 4c | 5,126$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 4,738$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.26 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nick Hardt | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 539 | 42.9%231 W · 308 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 2,958$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.37 | 1,771 | 49.2%872 W · 899 L | +58.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 1,684$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.59 | 1,887 | 45.8%864 W · 1,023 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 1,321$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.92 | 1,711 | 48.5%829 W · 882 L | +41.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 1,290$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Oleksii Krutykh | 47c | 1,281$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.63 | 1,889 | 44.8%846 W · 1,043 L | +36.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.63 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 961$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 894.75$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.56 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Oleksii Krutykh | 51c | 776$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Nick Hardt | 49c | 483.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Oleksii Krutykh | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Oleksii Krutykh | 51c | 413.24$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nick Hardt | 49c | 408.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 999 | 41.1%411 W · 588 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Nick Hardt | 5c | 374.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nick Hardt | 56c | 271.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 247.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Oleksii Krutykh | 51c | 222.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 223 | 43%96 W · 127 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Nick Hardt | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Oleksii Krutykh | 53c | 194.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Nick Hardt | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…eeb2backed Oleksii Krutykh | 54c | 120.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Nick Hardt | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 957 | 45.6%436 W · 521 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Oleksii Krutykh | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 606 | 47.5%288 W · 318 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Nick Hardt | 49c | 98.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 46c | 91.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oleksii Krutykh | 45c | 88.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 83.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Oleksii Krutykh | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Nick Hardt | 55c | 55.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 720 | 45.3%326 W · 394 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 52.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Nick Hardt | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 218 | 55.5%121 W · 97 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…2c22backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…1bd4backed Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 40.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 175 | 45.1%79 W · 96 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Oleksii Krutykh | 53c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 379 | 59.9%227 W · 152 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Nick Hardt | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Nick Hardtthis page
- Set Handicap: Hardt (-1.5) vs Krutykh (+1.5)Krutykh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.