NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620df370ec03cbe85726af0d8882c2aab46c6f8154cb0ee18e72b987a42a0294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 55c | 11,057$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.18 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 57c | 9,010$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.69 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 6,553$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Over | 42c | 3,643$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.95 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 3,129$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Under | 54c | 1,841$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 1,813$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Over | 44c | 1,790$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.4 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 55c | 1,480$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 1,097$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 11c | 910.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 545$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 42c | 509.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 502$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 468.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 394.66$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 58c | 258.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 231.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 201.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…c36cbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 76.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 43c | 70.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 55c | 49.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 44c | 46.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…e546backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…e132backed Under | 58c | 34.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 45c | 28.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 44c | 23.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. RaptorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.