Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627813b9f9fc893b7a5136e9e91eda0d2786bd969763b3e9cf8f75106148aed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scotlandof Namibia, Scotland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Namibia | 4c | 8,615$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.35 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Namibia | 2c | 5,092$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Namibia | 15c | 1,579$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Namibia | 23c | 1,457$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Scotland | 76c | 1,161$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Namibia | 28c | 983.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Namibia | 29c | 976.75$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Namibia | 3c | 949.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Scotland | 77c | 904.55$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Namibia | 19c | 612.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Namibia | 12c | 580.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Scotland | 65c | 509.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Scotland | 79c | 420.22$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Namibia | 30c | 365.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Namibia | 20c | 361.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Scotland | 75c | 359.43$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Namibia | 24c | 344.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Namibia | 22c | 324.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Scotland | 68c | 286.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Namibia | 27c | 282.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Namibia | 18c | 241.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Namibia | 9c | 238.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Scotland | 65c | 210.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ea…9496backed Scotland | 76c | 199.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Namibia | 20c | 158.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…e27cbacked Scotland | 77c | 147.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Namibia | 33c | 144.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Namibia | 31c | 142.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…fcedbacked Namibia | 24c | 141.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Scotland | 68c | 140.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Namibia | 31c | 108.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Scotland | 61c | 106.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Namibia | 28c | 104.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Scotland | 78c | 101.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Namibia | 35c | 98.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Scotland | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Namibia | 32c | 97.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Namibia | 22c | 95.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Namibia | 32c | 88.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Scotland | 66c | 87.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Scotland | 68c | 83.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…ed0dbacked Namibia | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Scotland | 61c | 79.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Namibia | 28c | 79.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Scotland | 78c | 79.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…4b1cbacked Namibia | 31c | 74.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…593dbacked Scotland | 76c | 64.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Namibia | 32c | 61.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Namibia | 33c | 58.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…70cebacked Namibia | 33c | 58.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Scotland | 69c | 53.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Namibia | 36c | 52.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Scotland | 68c | 50.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Scotland | 71c | 49.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Namibia | 24c | 47.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…26f3backed Scotland | 73c | 47.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Namibia | 32c | 45.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Scotland | 77c | 43.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Scotland | 70c | 41.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Scotland | 66c | 32.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…d345backed Scotland | 77c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Namibia | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…b8afbacked Scotland | 69c | 27.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…4465backed Namibia | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Scotland | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…1b38backed Scotland | 50c | 24.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…5d69backed Namibia | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…1501backed Scotland | 50c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Scotland | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Scotland | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…b82cbacked Scotland | 69c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.