Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f0f7ed1aaf020596acc25a973033316155e945e04bd352c3b978753006f502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Merrimack College Warriors, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 2,416$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 1,190$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Iona Gaels | 55c | 1,071$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 1,003$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.18 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 1,001$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels | 57c | 928.78$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 896.91$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.46 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 798.23$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.67 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 754.66$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.78 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 643$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 589$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 532.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 354.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 31c | 350$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 315.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels | 52c | 302$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 296.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Iona Gaels | 54c | 275.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 269.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 253.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iona Gaels | 57c | 211.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 179.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 171$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Iona Gaels | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iona Gaels | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels | 59c | 157$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Merrimack College Warriors | 7c | 150.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Iona Gaels | 67c | 143$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Merrimack College Warriors | 39c | 142.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 98.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iona Gaels | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Iona Gaels | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 57.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 55.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 52.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 50.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iona Gaels | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 45.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 37.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 33.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed Iona Gaels | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Iona Gaelsthis page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-1.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.