Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Hernan Casanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6444f200e036f651758ad710f08d4b8e69c8eee2405c047fc06a76db7c2e24e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Mejiaof Nicolas Mejia, Hernan Casanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hernan Casanova | 11c | 10,037$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.76 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hernan Casanova | 15c | 5,150$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hernan Casanova | 11c | 3,920$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 3,034$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.23 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 2,988$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.05 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 2,348$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hernan Casanova | 30c | 1,644$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Hernan Casanova | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hernan Casanova | 40c | 1,500$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 1,479$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.61 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hernan Casanova | 13c | 877.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 621.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 599.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 539.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Hernan Casanova | 37c | 493.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nicolas Mejia | 73c | 414.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Hernan Casanova | 35c | 350.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hernan Casanova | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Mejia | 78c | 293.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Hernan Casanova | 10c | 290.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hernan Casanova | 42c | 287.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Hernan Casanova | 17c | 273.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Nicolas Mejia | 67c | 255.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 253.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Nicolas Mejia | 57c | 243$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Nicolas Mejia | 60c | 225.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hernan Casanova | 40c | 222.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 203.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 192.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hernan Casanova | 10c | 177.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Nicolas Mejia | 60c | 166.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 154.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Hernan Casanova | 24c | 152.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 149.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hernan Casanova | 37c | 133.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Hernan Casanova | 37c | 133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Nicolas Mejia | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Hernan Casanova | 37c | 100.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Hernan Casanova | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Hernan Casanova | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 92.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hernan Casanova | 21c | 75.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 74.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hernan Casanova | 42c | 73.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Hernan Casanova | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Nicolas Mejia | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Hernan Casanova | 24c | 65.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Hernan Casanova | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hernan Casanova | 35c | 54.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Hernan Casanova | 40c | 49.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 47.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hernan Casanova | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hernan Casanova | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Hernan Casanova | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Hernan Casanova | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.6wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Hernan Casanova | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Hernan Casanova | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Mejia | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Hernan Casanovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mejia vs CasanovaMejia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.