Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ff97b1a79f6660422c6e424d312ff2751a162caad7120267283778d01e23c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 49c | 3,680$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.86 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 41c | 1,410$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.01 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,307$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.86 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 22c | 1,232$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.34 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 19c | 1,076$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 79c | 1,068$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,061$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 42c | 1,053$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 61c | 848.59$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.31 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…af5fbacked No | 63c | 801.24$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 34c | 737.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.08 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 19c | 599.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.12 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 75c | 533.36$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 54c | 520.15$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 26c | 500.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.63 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 53c | 455.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked No | 5c | 446.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 440.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 3c | 390.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 387.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 29c | 366.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 46c | 353.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…8a4ebacked Yes | 38c | 341.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 29c | 340.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 59c | 339.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 73c | 324.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 45c | 285.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3984…20e8backed Yes | 28c | 275.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…ae45backed No | 78c | 274.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 47c | 268.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 234.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 222.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 26c | 216.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 205.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 30c | 201.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 55c | 201.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed No | 44c | 195.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 44c | 186.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 72c | 174.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 27c | 160.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 39c | 154.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 38c | 152.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9e6fbacked Yes | 29c | 152.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7e95backed No | 58c | 150.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 67c | 150.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…d052backed No | 75c | 145.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…f946backed Yes | 37c | 136.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…e361backed Yes | 31c | 135.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 25c | 130.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 128.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…ef1abacked Yes | 27c | 123.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…04f0backed Yes | 28c | 121.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 55c | 118.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 70c | 103.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…68dcbacked Yes | 37c | 101.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 50c | 90.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 26c | 90.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bda3backed No | 57c | 88.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…6dc7backed Yes | 23c | 87.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 46c | 85.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…799ebacked Yes | 29c | 83.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…bacebacked Yes | 44c | 82.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 17c | 81.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 25c | 81.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed No | 60c | 79.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 25c | 79.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 78.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 39c | 77.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…e18dbacked No | 51c | 72.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 44c | 68.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 64.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 49c | 64.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 35c | 64.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…2ebfbacked Yes | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed No | 75c | 60.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…a41bbacked Yes | 31c | 58.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…282fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…8872backed No | 60c | 55.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…983fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…8a6cbacked Yes | 32c | 53.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…496fbacked No | 53c | 51.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…635dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.