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Asian League · resolved market

Will Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c4,003$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.6329632.8%97 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c3,532$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.142,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c2,893$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.841,13441.4%470 W · 664 L-17.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe072…54a0backed Yes75c2,663$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No60c1,356$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.4279842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Yes16c934.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.623013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes75c775.81$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.955431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes75c763.03$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.914651.4%75 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes58c745.4$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0221566%142 W · 73 L+29.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes33c604.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7413446.3%62 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c598.02$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.492,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes25c360.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.493043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes20c346.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.228763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c342.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.261,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No60c312$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.582642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No76c261.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.988263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c247.5$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.631,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes76c214$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3149652.8%262 W · 234 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes33c200$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.640456.2%227 W · 177 L+33.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes22c199.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.175250%26 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No63c184.05$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes67c181$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.958645.4%266 W · 320 L-23.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes36c159.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7914362.2%89 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes72c158.33$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6898635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No78c156.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4133749.6%167 W · 170 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes76c138.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9111654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No67c130$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4519356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes18c124.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5487043%374 W · 496 L+24.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes79c124.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.491,34756.5%761 W · 586 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No80c111.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.747047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No78c110.59$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2614041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Yes75c108.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+180.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No55c105.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0464142.7%274 W · 367 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes75c104.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.962619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes59c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.722469.6%156 W · 68 L+33.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes74c95.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.856650%33 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes75c67.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8728148.8%137 W · 144 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Yes75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes20c64.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5339961.9%247 W · 152 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes24c59.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2289038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes75c58.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.526651.5%34 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No77c51.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410044%44 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No78c45.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.364153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6925847.3%122 W · 136 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.581,53155%842 W · 689 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf406…060dbacked No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2575743.7%331 W · 426 L-35.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…5e29backed No77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23476.5%26 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x834b…1eb1backed Yes75c17.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes73c16.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4815457.8%89 W · 65 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed No77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.