Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aae2cfe9e0a24970fb689d859390988925a91d6fd57824bee098cb42c8a7315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 26c | 5,619$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.71 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 2,822$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.45 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 2,679$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.49 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 33c | 2,174$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.67 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,881$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…54a0backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 73c | 1,145$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 215 | 66%142 W · 73 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 28c | 1,002$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.97 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 58c | 829.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.79 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 31c | 777$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.97 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 27c | 766.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 669.73$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 661.2$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.36 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 648$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 564.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 31c | 539.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 500$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked No | 20c | 373.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 58c | 367.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Yes | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 13c | 328$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 327.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 25c | 325$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 293 | 64.5%189 W · 104 L | +29.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 21c | 308$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…857abacked No | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 33c | 291.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 4c | 283$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.39 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 61c | 243.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 241.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 37c | 233.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 16c | 229.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9da2backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 184.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 48c | 181.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 78c | 176.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed No | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed No | 33c | 133.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 31c | 126$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 27c | 118.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 14c | 107.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 73c | 89.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 86.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Yes | 50c | 83.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Yes | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 72c | 76.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Yes | 73c | 58.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 69c | 48.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…b94abacked Yes | 79c | 48.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 69c | 45.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 29c | 44.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…5599backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 40.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Yes | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 62c | 34.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Yes | 59c | 34.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 31c | 32.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Yes | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…1b4bbacked Yes | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9e82backed No | 66c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 67c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 67c | 20.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 71 | 88.7%63 W · 8 L | +16.8wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +39%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa463…28fcbacked Yes | 69c | 18.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 68c | 14.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.