Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c532b120387faa960b15a8c0869eaad04c116157904a48dd2bce419e3b896ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof PuckChamp, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked KW | 25c | 11,366$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.54 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed KW | 35c | 5,351$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.63 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked PuckChamp | 66c | 4,618$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed KW | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed PuckChamp | 65c | 2,699$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.56 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PuckChamp | 67c | 2,229$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.12 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked KW | 34c | 2,130$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed KW | 26c | 2,067$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.31 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed KW | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…de86backed PuckChamp | 72c | 1,761$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed KW | 21c | 1,644$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed PuckChamp | 65c | 1,541$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.23 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 1,241$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.84 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PuckChamp | 66c | 935.66$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.76 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed KW | 31c | 899.97$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 60c | 894.22$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.39 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 869.33$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 834.92$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed KW | 25c | 799.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 676.82$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed KW | 23c | 661.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed KW | 35c | 650.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked KW | 17c | 615.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 76c | 600.52$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked PuckChamp | 66c | 593.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KW | 7c | 579.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 562.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 69c | 544.37$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed KW | 32c | 540.49$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked KW | 38c | 514.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 76c | 509.6$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed PuckChamp | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed KW | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed KW | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked KW | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked PuckChamp | 65c | 407.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 371.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 76c | 356.92$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PuckChamp | 72c | 350.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 327.68$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 310.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 70c | 303.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PuckChamp | 75c | 299.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed PuckChamp | 72c | 297.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed KW | 35c | 296.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked KW | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 262.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 77c | 260.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp | 77c | 258.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed KW | 32c | 256.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PuckChamp | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed KW | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KW | 33c | 240$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed KW | 33c | 214.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 78c | 212$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PuckChamp | 69c | 211.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 73c | 208.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed KW | 34c | 208.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed PuckChamp | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed KW | 28c | 191.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KW | 25c | 179.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 171.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp | 60c | 166.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed PuckChamp | 60c | 148.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PuckChamp | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed PuckChamp | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked PuckChamp | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PuckChamp | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PuckChamp | 62c | 107.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 104.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked KW | 42c | 104.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked KW | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed PuckChamp | 65c | 96.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PuckChamp | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed PuckChamp | 60c | 88.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed KW | 34c | 84.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed PuckChamp | 66c | 83.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 72c | 81.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed KW | 17c | 75.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp | 69c | 72.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PuckChamp | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 61c | 68.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked PuckChamp | 65c | 62.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed KW | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed PuckChamp | 60c | 50.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed PuckChamp | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed KW | 31c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KW | 27c | 43.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed KW | 34c | 42.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed KW | 34c | 41.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed PuckChamp | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed PuckChamp | 70c | 37.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked PuckChamp | 60c | 36.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked KW | 30c | 36.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked PuckChamp | 70c | 36.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.