Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b52e59f49b2c09bf3c911512de1377f8a9f948b70b7944a39d57bb420ff8de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof PuckChamp, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked KW | 32c | 4,943$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.09 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PuckChamp | 67c | 4,826$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.22 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed KW | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked PuckChamp | 61c | 2,904$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.45 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed KW | 41c | 2,720$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.95 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp | 74c | 2,679$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.78 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PuckChamp | 70c | 1,941$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.19 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked KW | 8c | 1,584$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PuckChamp | 70c | 1,570$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.17 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed KW | 32c | 1,256$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed KW | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.88 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 1,001$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.09 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed KW | 30c | 998$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked KW | 40c | 977.17$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 853.77$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed KW | 37c | 793.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PuckChamp | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed KW | 23c | 699.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KW | 27c | 651.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed KW | 2c | 616.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked KW | 29c | 573.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PuckChamp | 69c | 543.92$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 77c | 478.05$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed PuckChamp | 77c | 474.44$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed PuckChamp | 60c | 472.16$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked PuckChamp | 77c | 432.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 32c | 402.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked KW | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked PuckChamp | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed KW | 24c | 380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked KW | 42c | 364.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PuckChamp | 74c | 350$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…de86backed PuckChamp | 74c | 338.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed KW | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked KW | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KW | 32c | 274.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KW | 6c | 258.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked KW | 24c | 217.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 214.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked KW | 30c | 206.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KW | 28c | 158$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed KW | 46c | 151.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed KW | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KW | 20c | 149.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KW | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed PuckChamp | 71c | 142.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed KW | 29c | 139.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked PuckChamp | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed KW | 39c | 135.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KW | 35c | 132$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed PuckChamp | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KW | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked KW | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PuckChamp | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed PuckChamp | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 302 | 60.3%182 W · 120 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed KW | 42c | 93.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed PuckChamp | 71c | 92.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed PuckChamp | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed PuckChamp | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 60c | 81.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked KW | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 72c | 76.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 65c | 76.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked PuckChamp | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed PuckChamp | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KW | 33c | 72.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed KW | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 65c | 68.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp | 59c | 67.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked PuckChamp | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked KW | 30c | 65.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PuckChamp | 78c | 64.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 551 | 61.7%340 W · 211 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed PuckChamp | 68c | 61.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KW | 32c | 60.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed PuckChamp | 59c | 59.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…926ebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 57.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 56.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked PuckChamp | 65c | 53.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PuckChamp | 65c | 51.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 46.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed PuckChamp | 59c | 46.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed PuckChamp | 72c | 43.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…8c5cbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 41.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 76c | 38.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PuckChamp | 69c | 37.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1acfbacked KW | 35c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 34.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked PuckChamp | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed PuckChamp | 60c | 29.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked PuckChamp | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed PuckChamp | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked PuckChamp | 60c | 23.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.